All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Brown County Sectional |
Columbus North Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
145 | |
120 |
115 |
449 |
174 |
161 |
263 |
169 |
168 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
120 |
115 |
160 |
174 |
161 |
195 |
169 |
168 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Brown County Sectional |
Columbus North Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 8 |
Clayton Guthrie |
12 |
15:40 |
16:01 |
15:43 |
15:36 |
|
15:22 |
15:45 |
|
15:56 |
15:55 |
| 23 |
Will Russell |
12 |
15:53 |
16:09 |
15:45 |
15:47 |
|
15:46 |
15:51 |
16:03 |
15:51 |
16:24 |
| 29 |
Mateo Mendez |
12 |
15:57 |
16:12 |
16:02 |
15:49 |
|
16:16 |
16:01 |
16:15 |
16:10 |
15:50 |
| 73 |
Neal White |
10 |
16:24 |
16:54 |
15:58 |
16:22 |
|
17:04 |
16:18 |
16:38 |
16:19 |
16:21 |
| 127 |
Adler Larson |
12 |
16:44 |
18:42 |
16:59 |
17:03 |
16:59 |
16:51 |
17:18 |
16:58 |
16:58 |
16:37 |
| 158 |
Kellen Hottell |
12 |
16:53 |
16:41 |
16:42 |
16:24 |
|
16:37 |
17:10 |
17:09 |
17:04 |
17:02 |
| 172 |
Draven Martinez |
10 |
16:56 |
17:52 |
16:57 |
16:53 |
16:58 |
17:05 |
17:01 |
16:55 |
16:55 |
16:48 |
| 221 |
Sam Hobbeheydar |
12 |
17:06 |
16:58 |
17:26 |
16:58 |
17:16 |
17:01 |
|
16:58 |
|
|
| 271 |
Adam Reckers |
11 |
17:13 |
17:21 |
17:42 |
16:57 |
17:08 |
17:18 |
|
|
|
|
| 310 |
Akot Tong |
11 |
17:18 |
17:12 |
17:27 |
17:19 |
17:19 |
17:11 |
|
|
|
|
| 427 |
Charlie Smith |
12 |
17:35 |
17:46 |
|
17:56 |
17:34 |
17:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 432 |
Jonny Klaus |
10 |
17:36 |
18:28 |
17:30 |
17:39 |
17:35 |
17:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 484 |
Logan Vanzant |
9 |
17:42 |
|
17:31 |
17:54 |
17:42 |
17:43 |
|
|
|
|
| 735 |
Rylan Hottell |
11 |
18:06 |
18:22 |
18:03 |
18:16 |
|
18:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 758 |
Denton Sluder |
9 |
18:09 |
|
18:16 |
17:56 |
18:14 |
18:08 |
|
|
|
|
| 767 |
Marco Avila |
11 |
18:10 |
16:44 |
18:41 |
18:04 |
|
18:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 839 |
Sam Steinmetz |
9 |
18:17 |
|
18:03 |
18:22 |
|
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 894 |
Amit Gangadhara |
11 |
18:21 |
|
18:21 |
18:07 |
18:19 |
18:37 |
|
|
|
|
| 905 |
Luke Chandler |
12 |
18:22 |
|
18:43 |
18:22 |
|
18:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,021 |
Leyton Hottell |
9 |
18:30 |
|
18:32 |
18:23 |
|
18:36 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,027 |
Frankie Polyak |
11 |
18:31 |
|
18:27 |
18:27 |
|
18:38 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,029 |
Evan Bense |
11 |
18:31 |
19:21 |
|
18:32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,031 |
Damien Dixon |
11 |
18:31 |
17:52 |
18:56 |
18:19 |
|
18:30 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,073 |
Rogelio Reyes |
11 |
18:34 |
18:41 |
18:16 |
18:35 |
|
18:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,175 |
Carson Zhang |
12 |
18:42 |
19:10 |
19:09 |
18:26 |
|
18:42 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,345 |
Cole Stevens |
10 |
18:55 |
|
18:49 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,367 |
Aidan Brown |
10 |
18:57 |
|
19:03 |
18:53 |
|
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jace Works |
9 |
19:11 |
|
18:46 |
19:38 |
|
19:13 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
4.3 |
168 |
1.8 |
9.8 |
18.7 |
26.1 |
28.1 |
10.0 |
3.2 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.0 |
60 |
97.0 |
2.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
19 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
19 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Clayton Guthrie |
100% |
11.2 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
5.7 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
6.0 |
5.3 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Will Russell |
100% |
22.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mateo Mendez |
100% |
27.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
|
99.9% |
| Neal White |
100% |
71.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
82.0% |
| Adler Larson |
100% |
106.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.5% |
| Kellen Hottell |
100% |
120.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.6% |
| Draven Martinez |
100% |
125.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.7% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Clayton Guthrie |
100% |
2.9 |
14.6 |
19.7 |
17.5 |
14.9 |
11.7 |
8.8 |
5.6 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Russell |
100% |
6.7 |
0.8 |
3.3 |
6.1 |
8.7 |
10.4 |
12.1 |
12.4 |
11.9 |
10.7 |
8.0 |
5.6 |
3.9 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Mateo Mendez |
100% |
8.1 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
2.9 |
5.2 |
7.2 |
9.6 |
10.8 |
11.6 |
12.1 |
11.2 |
9.2 |
6.5 |
4.2 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Neal White |
100% |
18.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
7.1 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
8.8 |
8.2 |
8.0 |
7.6 |
6.4 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Adler Larson |
100% |
27.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
5.9 |
6.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Kellen Hottell |
100% |
33.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Draven Martinez |
100% |
36.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Clayton Guthrie |
100% |
1.0 |
86.5 |
11.2 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Russell |
100% |
1.8 |
7.9 |
51.7 |
30.1 |
7.7 |
2.0 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mateo Mendez |
100% |
2.4 |
2.7 |
27.0 |
50.3 |
13.8 |
5.0 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Neal White |
100% |
5.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
10.8 |
18.2 |
26.8 |
37.2 |
6.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Adler Larson |
100% |
8.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
7.9 |
39.3 |
31.4 |
12.4 |
4.9 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kellen Hottell |
100% |
9.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
8.8 |
22.4 |
31.3 |
23.1 |
7.6 |
3.7 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Draven Martinez |
100% |
10.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
4.7 |
15.8 |
27.8 |
31.4 |
10.4 |
6.8 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Clayton Guthrie |
1.0 |
86.5 |
11.4 |
1.8 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Will Russell |
1.8 |
8.2 |
52.6 |
31.1 |
6.7 |
1.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mateo Mendez |
2.4 |
2.8 |
27.4 |
51.6 |
14.4 |
3.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Neal White |
5.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
13.1 |
27.7 |
52.0 |
6.7 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Adler Larson |
7.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
5.0 |
43.4 |
35.4 |
11.7 |
3.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kellen Hottell |
8.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
8.8 |
25.1 |
37.2 |
28.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Draven Martinez |
8.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
4.7 |
16.4 |
34.1 |
44.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
